Tempo Effects on Mortality Rate and Tempo-adjusted Life Expectancy in China

Corresponding author: dong haoyue, dhy0417@126.com

DOI: 10.12201/bmr.202006.00005

•  

  Abstract: As an important indicator to measure the health level for a population, the life expectancy at birth has always been concerned by researchers from population studies and public health, and is often used as the fundamental index in application. Based on the sixth census data, many researchers believe that life expectancy at birth in China is overestimated, mainly because of underreporting of deaths. However, in the process of mortality decline with the improvement of death conditions, the life expectancy at birth itself might be overestimated by tempo effects which are caused by the delay of death. Taking advantage of the yearly data on death for China from 1994 to 2016, this study investigates that tempo-adjusted life expectancy at birth, through the approach developed by Jonhn Bongaarts and Griffith Feeney. The results indicate that: first, in contrast to conventional life expectancy, tempo-adjusted life expectancy tends to increase more steadily, and both level and its growth rate of life expectancy for women are higher than those for men. Second, the tempo effects of mortality for China fluctuate between 2 and 5 from 1994 to 2016, with an average of 2.5 and above, which is clearly higher than those for European countries and United States. This suggests that the speed of mortality decline in China is much faster. Third, as far as the sixth census concerned, the potential tempo effects might make the conventional life expectancy overestimate the health level in China. The tempo-adjusted life expectancy may be a better measure of the life expectancy of the Chinses population.

  Key words: mortality rate; life expectancy at birth; tempo effect

  Submit time: 28 October 2020

  Copyright: The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted biomedRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
• html

• 图表

• Zhang Lilong. A study on the relationship between economic poverty and the life expectancy of the elderly People. 2020. doi: 10.12201/bmr.202003.00306

  Zhan Haixia, Hu Dong, Zhang Wenting, Gu Ying. Effect of cluster nursing mode on shoulder function recovery and quality of life of patients with breast cancer after modified radical mastectomy. 2020. doi: 10.12201/bmr.202004.00015

  He Man, Du Jie, Yang Lei, Li Bin, Yang Yi, Xu Shi, Chai Chen. The cardiovascular effects of irisin in the rostral ventrolateral medulla of septic rats. 2020. doi: 10.12201/bmr.202011.00002

  Zhu Xiaoxiao, Qian Aibing. Analysis of Network Attention Characteristics of Breast Cancer Prevention and Treatment Health Information Based on Baidu Index. 2020. doi: 10.12201/bmr.201906.00001

  Ci Yan, Peng Wang, Yue Yang, Jin Ren, Ruihao Wu, Yin Guan, Qian Zhang. Planning and construction of provincial cancer big data center. 2020. doi: 10.12201/bmr.202009.00002

  chen ling, Zhang Hongwei, Wang Chunmei. Research on the Construction of Medical Wisdom Library from the Perspective of Modern Public Cultural Service. 2020. doi: 10.12201/bmr.201911.00001

  caohaixia, 刘宇薇. Comparative Study on Public Health Information Services of Libraries at Home and Abroad. 2020. doi: 10.12201/bmr.201908.00001

  Luxinyi, Wangyadong. The construction of the comprehensive regulation system of the medical and health industry :a qualitative analysis based on the grounded theory. 2021. doi: 10.12201/bmr.201910.00001

  Guo Yi, Jiang Tao, Hu Yingying, Tang Guangming. The Design and Application of Performance Assessment Information System for Primary Health Care Institutions Compensation Mechanism Reform. 2020. doi: 10.12201/bmr.201909.00001

  Lei Meng, Luo Yinbo, Wang Zan, Guo Qianqian, Liu Junan. The association between sense of acquisition and turnover intention of rural primary medical staff: based on mediating effect of job satisfaction. 2021. doi: 10.12201/bmr.202010.00843

• ID	Submit time	Number	Download
  1	2020-06-14	bmr.202006.00005V1	Download

• Public  Anonymous  To author only Submit Comments