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全身免疫炎症指数联合rSIG 休克指数对老年ICH患者预后的预测价值

通讯作者: 成杰, chengjie9655@126.com
DOI:10.12201/bmr.202509.00020
声明:预印本系统所发表的论文仅用于最新科研成果的交流与共享,未经同行评议,因此不建议直接应用于指导临床实践。

Prognostic Value of systemic immune inflammation index and rSIG shock index in elderly patients with ICH

Corresponding author: Cheng Jie, chengjie9655@126.com
  • 摘要:【摘要】 目的 分析探究全身免疫炎症指数(systemic immune inflammation index,SII ) 联合rSIG休克指数(the Reverse Shock Index Multiplied by Clasgow Coma Scale Score, rSIG)对老年自发性脑出血( intracerebral hemorrhage, ICH)患者预后的预测价值。方法 选取2022年 12月至2024年 12月期间在华北理工大学附属医院神经外科收治的400例老年ICH患者,根据患者90d预后情况分成预后良好组152例和不良248例。比较2组基本资料、格拉斯哥昏迷评分(Glasgow coma scale, GCS)、入院生命体征、实验室检查等临床资料。通过logistic回归分析探讨老年ICH患者预后相关的影响因素,根据受试者工作特征曲线分析SII联合rSIG休克指数对老年ICH患者预后的预测价值。结果 预后不良组收缩压、GCS评分、rSIG休克指数显著低于预后良好组,心率、血小板计数、嗜中性粒细胞、D-二聚体、SII显著高于预后良好组。logistic 回归分析显示,全身免疫炎症指数(OR=1.119,95%CI:1.077~1.164,P=0.000)、rSIG休克指数(OR=0.826,95%CI:0.790~0.865,P=0.000)可准确预测老年ICH患者预后情况。ROC曲线分析显示,SII、rSIG休克指数预测老年ICH患者90d预后情况的曲线下面积(area under curve, AUC)分别为0.763(95%CI:0.715~0.811)、0.821(95%CI:0.776~0.867),SII联合rSIG休克指数预测老年ICH患者90d预后情况的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.859(95%CI:0.823~0.895),敏感度和特异度分别为82.66%、72.37%,两者联合的AUC优于单独SII、rSIG休克指数,且差异有统计学意义,P<0.05。结论 SII联合rSIG休克指数可以预测老年ICH患者90d预后情况。

    关键词: 脑出血;rSIG休克指数;全身免疫炎症指数;预后

     

    Abstract: Objective To explore systemic immune inflammation index(SII)combined with? Reverse Shock Index Multiplied by Clasgow Prognostic value of Coma Scale Score(rSIG))for elderly patients with intracerebral hemorrhage(ICH). Methods A total of 400 elderly ICH patients admitted to the Department of Neurosurgery of the Affiliated Hospital of North China University of Science and Technology from December 2022 to December 2024 were selected and divided into a good prognosis group(152 cases)and a poor prognosis group(248 cases) according to the 90d prognosis. Systolic blood pressure, GCS score and rSIG shock index in the poor prognosis group were significantly lower than those in the good prognosis group, while heart rate, platelet count, neutrophil, D-dimer and SII in the poor prognosis group were significantly higher than those in the good prognosis group. Logistic regression analysis was used to explore the prognostic factors of elderly ICH patients, and the predictive value of systemic immune inflammation index combined with rSIG shock index for elderly ICH patients was analyzed according to the subjects working characteristic curve. Results A total of 400 patients were included, including 152 patients in the good prognosis group and 248 patients in the poor prognosis group. Systolic blood pressure and GCS scores in the poor prognosis group were significantly lower than those in the good prognosis group, while heart rate, platelet count, neutrophil, D-dimer, systemic immune inflammation index and rSIG shock index were significantly higher than those in the good prognosis group. logistic regression analysis showed that the systemic immune inflammation index(OR=1.119,95%CI: 1.077-1.164, P=0.000)and rSIG shock index(OR=0.826,95%CI: 0.790-0.865,P=0.000)can accurately predict the prognosis of elderly ICH patients. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under curve of systemic immune inflammation index and rSIG shock index in predicting the 90d prognosis of elderly ICH patients was 0.763(95%CI: 0.715-0.811) and 0.821(95%CI: 0.776~0.867), the area under the curve of systemic immune inflammation index combined with rSIG shock index to predict the 90d prognosis of elderly ICH patients was 0.859(95%CI: 0.823-0.895), and the sensitivity and specificity were 82.66% and 72.37%, respectively. The combined AUC was significantly better than the systemic immune inflammation index and rSIG shock index alone, and the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05). Conclusion Systemic immune inflammation index combined with rSIG shock index can predict the 90d prognosis of elderly patients with ICH.

    Key words: Cerebral hemorrhage; the Reverse Shock Index Multiplied by Clasgow Coma Scale Score; systemic immune inflammation index; prognosis

    提交时间:2025-09-06

    版权声明:作者本人独立拥有该论文的版权,预印本系统仅拥有论文的永久保存权利。任何人未经允许不得重复使用。
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    2 2025-04-10

    bmr.202509.00020V2

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    1 2025-04-10

    bmr.202509.00020V1

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孙延, 贺鑫, 陈芳, 周小淇, 成杰, 唐启群, 成晓华, 郭宗海, 周然. 全身免疫炎症指数联合rSIG 休克指数对老年ICH患者预后的预测价值. 2025. biomedRxiv.202509.00020

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